Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | UNA -200 QUC +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +6 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -7.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -4.8 (+1.2) | 159.8 (+14.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -4.1 (+1.9) | 159.0 (+15.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -4.5 (+1.5) | 157.9 (+16.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -4.5 (+1.5) | 158.5 (+15.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | QUC 85 – 78 UNA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | QUC 87 – 62 UNA |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UNA 74 – 69 QUC |
| Jan 30, 2025 | QUC 75 – 67 UNA |
| Jan 14, 2023 | QUC 107 – 78 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#255) | -8.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#291) | -0.78 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#282) | -1.29 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#283) | 0.461 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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