Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -8.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -6.6 (+1.6) | 134.2 (+8.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ASU -7.9 (+2.9) | 132.8 (+10.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ASU -6.0 (+1.0) | 131.7 (+11.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -7.1 (+2.1) | 132.6 (+10.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | ORST 78 – 75 ASU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | ASU 79 – 61 ORST |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ORST 84 – 71 ASU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ASU 63 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ASU 68 – 57 ORST |
Game Analysis
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