Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -1000 ORST +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -13.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -10.8 (+0.2) | 131.4 (-6.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ASU -12.9 (-1.9) | 129.8 (-4.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ASU -10.9 (+0.1) | 131.3 (-6.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -12.1 (-1.1) | 130.3 (-5.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | ORST 78 – 75 ASU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | ASU 79 – 61 ORST |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ORST 84 – 71 ASU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ASU 63 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ASU 74 – 69 ORST |
Game Analysis
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