Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -300 ORST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -6.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -6.3 (+11.7) | 140.5 (-0.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ASU -7.6 (+10.4) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ASU -5.7 (+12.3) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -6.5 (+11.5) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | ORST 78 – 75 ASU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ORST 84 – 71 ASU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ASU 63 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ASU 68 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ASU 74 – 69 ORST |
Game Analysis
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