Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -900 ORST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -14.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -13.3 (-16.3) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -10.9 (-13.9) | 147.3 (+5.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -14.0 (-17.0) | 146.6 (+6.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -14.1 (-17.1) | 146.4 (+6.6) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2024 | ASU 79 – 61 ORST |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ORST 84 – 71 ASU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ASU 63 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ASU 68 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ASU 74 – 69 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#80) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#25) | -0.30 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#26) | -0.43 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#43) | 0.466 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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