Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +115 ASU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -0.4 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -0.8 (+12.2) | 142.7 (+12.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ASU -0.6 (+13.6) | 142.3 (+12.7) | 45% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ORST -0.8 (+12.2) | 139.6 (+15.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -0.2 (+12.8) | 140.2 (+14.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | ORST 78 – 75 ASU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | ASU 79 – 61 ORST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ASU 63 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ASU 68 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ASU 74 – 69 ORST |
Game Analysis
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