Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | ASU -650 ORST +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -10.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -9.2 (-3.2) | 130.9 (-10.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ASU -11.8 (-5.8) | 129.0 (-9.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ASU -10.4 (-4.4) | 130.4 (-10.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -9.9 (-3.9) | 131.3 (-11.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | ORST 78 – 75 ASU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | ASU 79 – 61 ORST |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ORST 84 – 71 ASU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ASU 68 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | ASU 74 – 69 ORST |
Game Analysis
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