Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -1600 FAIR +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -20.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -16.6 (-10.6) | 141.1 (+2.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -15.4 (-9.4) | 136.4 (+7.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -15.8 (-9.8) | 140.1 (+3.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -17.6 (-11.6) | 140.4 (+3.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#47) | -6.3 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#83) | -1.43 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#81) | -1.89 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#50) | 0.430 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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