Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -230 FAIR +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -6.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -3.7 (+19.3) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.5 (+18.5) | 138.0 (+13.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.2 (+18.8) | 139.2 (+11.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.6 (+18.4) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
| Dec 2, 2023 | IONA 78 – 67 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#296) | -11.6 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#269) | -1.35 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#280) | -2.20 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#280) | 0.439 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 39.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.