Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -135 FAIR +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -5.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.1 (-5.1) | 145.1 (-4.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -3.9 (-4.9) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.0 (-5.0) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.3 (-5.3) | 142.9 (-1.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
| Dec 2, 2023 | IONA 78 – 67 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#232) | -6.0 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#169) | -0.67 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#194) | -0.96 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#150) | 0.486 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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