Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -110 LR +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -4.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -1.9 (+5.1) | 143.0 (-10.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -1.7 (+5.3) | 141.5 (-8.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -2.2 (+4.8) | 142.3 (-9.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -2.2 (+4.8) | 141.7 (-8.7) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | EIU 78 – 72 LR |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LR 74 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EIU 71 – 60 LR |
| Jan 27, 2025 | EIU 56 – 54 LR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LR 71 – 47 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 80.9 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#338) | -10.9 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#334) | -2.23 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#334) | -2.72 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#345) | 0.356 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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