Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -0.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.5 (+8.5) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -0.9 (+7.1) | 132.4 (+1.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -0.2 (+8.2) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.7 (+8.7) | 133.9 (+0.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RICH 99 – 94 SBU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICH 89 – 80 SBU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | SBU 63 – 49 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | SBU 66 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#182) | 3.7 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#198) | 0.39 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#183) | 0.83 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#195) | 0.538 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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