Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -265 RICH +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +9 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -3.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -3.9 (-12.9) | 150.6 (+18.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -5.0 (-14.0) | 148.4 (+20.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -3.6 (-12.6) | 148.8 (+20.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -3.9 (-12.9) | 150.8 (+18.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RICH 99 – 94 SBU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | SBU 63 – 49 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | SBU 66 – 62 RICH |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SBU 71 – 63 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#117) | 4.3 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#52) | 0.43 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#67) | 0.76 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#28) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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