Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -125 SBU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +5 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -4.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+39.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.9 (+0.1) | 146.3 (+46.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -3.1 (+1.9) | 145.0 (+48.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.5 (+0.5) | 145.1 (+47.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.7 (+0.3) | 144.9 (+48.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICH 89 – 80 SBU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | SBU 63 – 49 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | SBU 66 – 62 RICH |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SBU 71 – 63 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#128) | 0.9 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#169) | 0.09 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#145) | 0.21 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#213) | 0.521 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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