Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -213 SBU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -5.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.2 (-8.2) | 132.7 (-4.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -5.2 (-9.2) | 131.0 (-3.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -3.9 (-7.9) | 131.7 (-3.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -3.7 (-7.7) | 131.8 (-3.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RICH 99 – 94 SBU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICH 89 – 80 SBU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | SBU 63 – 49 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SBU 71 – 63 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#144) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#163) | -0.04 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#144) | -0.02 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#153) | 0.510 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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