Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -1400 RICH +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +14 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -15.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -13.3 (+0.7) | 135.6 (-23.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -12.0 (+2.0) | 133.3 (-21.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -12.4 (+1.6) | 133.2 (-21.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -13.0 (+1.0) | 134.5 (-22.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RICH 99 – 94 SBU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICH 89 – 80 SBU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | SBU 66 – 62 RICH |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SBU 71 – 63 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#76) | -4.5 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#59) | -0.87 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#56) | -1.10 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#55) | 0.482 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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