Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | KU -6.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.9 (-3.9) | 133.2 (-11.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -6.9 (-4.9) | 129.9 (-7.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.3 (-4.3) | 131.8 (-9.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.6 (-4.6) | 131.6 (-9.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#6) | 14.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.06 (#1) | 3.16 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.74 (#3) | 3.59 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.684 (#1) | 0.616 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 29.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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