Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +180 SELA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -4.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -6.2 (+2.2) | 150.6 (-4.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -5.3 (+1.3) | 148.4 (-2.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -5.4 (+1.4) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -4.7 (+0.7) | 150.7 (-4.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#351) | -4.9 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#344) | -0.33 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#347) | -0.66 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#353) | 0.461 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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