Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -170 UIW +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +23 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -7.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -6.2 (+16.8) | 142.0 (+7.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -6.3 (+16.7) | 139.7 (+9.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -6.6 (+16.4) | 141.0 (+8.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -6.6 (+16.4) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SELA 73 – 56 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#193) | -5.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#210) | -1.92 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#215) | -2.21 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#207) | 0.393 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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