Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +138 SELA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -1.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -3.0 (-14.0) | 140.7 (-11.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -2.8 (-14.2) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.3 (-14.7) | 145.1 (-16.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -2.8 (-14.2) | 144.2 (-15.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#335) | -7.2 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#343) | -0.99 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#350) | -1.52 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#355) | 0.476 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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