Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -155 SELA +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -0.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -0.0 (-5.0) | 141.3 (-4.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -0.3 (-5.3) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.3 (-4.7) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.3 (-4.7) | 143.4 (-6.4) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SELA 73 – 56 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#244) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#306) | -0.34 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#288) | -0.64 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#319) | 0.485 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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