Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -298 SELA +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -11.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -9.0 (-0.0) | 138.0 (+11.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -7.8 (+1.2) | 135.1 (+13.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -8.7 (+0.3) | 140.0 (+9.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -8.7 (+0.3) | 139.3 (+9.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SELA 73 – 56 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 6-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#166) | -6.8 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#246) | -1.77 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#226) | -2.50 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#251) | 0.430 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.1% | 35.2% |
Game Analysis
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