Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -175 UIW +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -2.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -1.6 (-5.6) | 136.3 (+1.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.3 (-6.3) | 134.0 (+4.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.8 (-5.8) | 136.3 (+1.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.0 (-6.0) | 137.3 (+0.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SELA 73 – 56 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#198) | -4.8 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#210) | -1.18 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#211) | -1.30 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#214) | 0.454 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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