Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -135 UIW +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -0.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -0.2 (+12.2) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.3 (+11.7) | 133.3 (+2.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.4 (+11.6) | 132.2 (+3.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.6 (+11.4) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SELA 73 – 56 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 7-15 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#266) | -4.4 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#303) | -1.28 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#292) | -1.67 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#321) | 0.429 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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