Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -900 EMU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +37 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -15.3 (+21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -12.5 (+24.5) | 146.4 (+24.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -12.9 (+24.1) | 148.7 (+22.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -11.9 (+25.1) | 146.6 (+24.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -12.8 (+24.2) | 146.3 (+24.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#132) | -8.7 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#122) | -1.90 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#142) | -2.38 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#126) | 0.387 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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