Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -7.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -5.2 (-1.2) | 141.1 (+6.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -5.4 (-1.4) | 138.2 (+9.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -5.0 (-1.0) | 141.3 (+6.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -5.5 (-1.5) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | BEL 91 – 86 UNI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BEL 78 – 65 UNI |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UNI 82 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2025 | UNI 76 – 70 BEL |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNI 67 – 62 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#137) | -0.8 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#118) | -0.40 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#145) | -0.24 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#87) | 0.473 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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