Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -218 UNI +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -5.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+42.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -5.5 (-0.5) | 133.5 (+43.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -5.6 (-0.6) | 134.2 (+42.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -6.1 (-1.1) | 134.6 (+42.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -5.6 (-0.6) | 133.4 (+43.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | BEL 78 – 65 UNI |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UNI 82 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2025 | UNI 76 – 70 BEL |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNI 67 – 62 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UNI 83 – 72 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-6 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#67) | 6.3 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#63) | 0.61 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#58) | 0.70 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#51) | 0.549 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.