Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -225 BEL +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -9.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -8.5 (-2.5) | 155.2 (-9.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -6.9 (-0.9) | 151.4 (-5.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -9.0 (-3.0) | 153.7 (-7.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -8.6 (-2.6) | 154.5 (-8.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | BEL 91 – 86 UNI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BEL 78 – 65 UNI |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UNI 82 – 75 BEL |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNI 67 – 62 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UNI 83 – 72 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#83) | 1.3 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#98) | 1.01 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#95) | 0.75 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#96) | 0.561 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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