Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -142 BEL +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -2.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -2.6 (-15.6) | 130.9 (+12.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -2.0 (-15.0) | 130.8 (+12.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -1.9 (-14.9) | 129.1 (+13.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -1.5 (-14.5) | 129.5 (+13.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | BEL 91 – 86 UNI |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UNI 82 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2025 | UNI 76 – 70 BEL |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNI 67 – 62 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UNI 83 – 72 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 26-6 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#84) | 9.1 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#79) | 1.30 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#88) | 2.36 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#70) | 0.549 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 52.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 60.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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