Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -115 UNI -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -0.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -0.5 (-7.5) | 151.8 (+5.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -0.7 (-7.7) | 150.8 (+6.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -0.5 (-7.5) | 152.1 (+4.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -0.4 (-7.4) | 154.5 (+2.5) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | BEL 91 – 86 UNI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BEL 78 – 65 UNI |
| Jan 2, 2025 | UNI 76 – 70 BEL |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNI 67 – 62 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UNI 83 – 72 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#136) | 5.0 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#94) | 0.91 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#117) | 0.97 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#92) | 0.557 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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