And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -13.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SIUE -900 / LIN +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +10 126 Won
Massey SIUE -16.9 (-6.9) — —
Massey Totals — 138.7 (-12.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -11.9 (-1.9) 140.1 (-14.1) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -10.6 (-0.6) 140.1 (-14.1) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -11.5 (-1.5) 139.5 (-13.5) 87% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -12.6 (-2.6) 138.0 (-12.0) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SIUE 78 – 72 LIN
Jan 7, 2026 SIUE 66 – 62 LIN
Jan 31, 2025 LIN 65 – 63 SIUE
Jan 4, 2025 SIUE 58 – 47 LIN
Feb 16, 2024 SIUE 91 – 63 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE LIN
Overall 19-14 11-21
Conference 9-9 6-12
Home 9-5 9-4
Away 7-8 2-14
Neutral 3-1 0-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.2 67.6
Avg Pts Against 72.1 76.1
Massey 3.1 (#127) -9.8 (#333)
Bradley-Terry 0.79 (#103) -1.77 (#322)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.81 (#119) -1.73 (#297)
RPI 0.545 (#95) 0.400 (#330)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE LIN
FG% 42.5% 41.5%
3PT% 32.2% 33.4%
REB / G 36.5 33.1
OREB / G 11.3 7.4
AST / TO 0.83 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 47.5%
TOV% 19.3% 21.3%
ORB% 31.9% 20.9%
FT Rate 32.5% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 18.2%
DRB% 69.1% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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