Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLE -10.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money IUIN +500 / CLE -600
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual CLE +35 143 Lost
Massey CLE -12.4 (-22.6) — —
Massey Totals — 129.6 (+13.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 7% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLE -13.7 (-21.3) 133.1 (+9.9) 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLE -11.7 (-23.3) 132.8 (+10.2) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLE -12.2 (-22.8) 133.3 (+9.7) 14% ✓
Baseline ML CLE -12.2 (-22.8) 134.2 (+8.8) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 CLE 101 – 93 IUIN
Feb 7, 2026 IUIN 82 – 74 CLE
Dec 30, 2025 CLE 99 – 86 IUIN
Jan 19, 2025 CLE 73 – 62 IUIN
Jan 4, 2025 CLE 67 – 61 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN CLE
Overall 5-27 21-14
Conference 2-18 14-6
Home 4-9 13-3
Away 0-15 7-9
Neutral 1-3 1-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 65.2 71.7
Avg Pts Against 78.6 69.2
Massey -17.3 (#361) -0.9 (#190)
Bradley-Terry -3.46 (#358) -0.19 (#196)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.08 (#358) -0.19 (#195)
RPI 0.339 (#360) 0.467 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN CLE
FG% 42.8% 43.3%
3PT% 27.6% 29.1%
REB / G 30.1 34.3
OREB / G 8.4 11.4
AST / TO 0.59 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.8% 47.3%
TOV% 23.9% 16.1%
ORB% 26.0% 32.0%
FT Rate 21.7% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 19.9%
DRB% 69.9% 64.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.4% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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