Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +7 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -2.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -1.3 (-5.7) | 159.0 (-4.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -2.4 (-4.6) | 154.6 (+0.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -0.7 (-6.3) | 157.6 (-2.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -1.6 (-5.4) | 157.5 (-2.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | UAB 65 – 59 LT |
| Mar 13, 2022 | UAB 82 – 73 LT |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UAB 87 – 74 LT |
| Jan 22, 2022 | UAB 83 – 76 LT |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LT 69 – 64 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#135) | 8.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#168) | 0.73 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#157) | 1.21 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#144) | 0.539 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.