Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Bartow Arena · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -7.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total UAB win
Actual UAB +13 161 Won
Massey UAB -7.6 (+5.4) — —
Massey Totals — 148.4 (+12.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UAB -8.1 (+4.9) 146.5 (+14.5) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -7.4 (+5.6) 145.1 (+15.9) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -7.9 (+5.1) 145.1 (+15.9) 77% ✓
Baseline ML UAB -7.7 (+5.3) 145.0 (+16.0) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2023 UAB 65 – 59 LT
Jan 14, 2023 UAB 81 – 74 LT
Mar 13, 2022 UAB 82 – 73 LT
Jan 22, 2022 UAB 83 – 76 LT
Feb 13, 2021 LT 69 – 64 UAB

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.