Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -333 LT +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +6 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -10.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (-36.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -9.1 (-3.1) | 150.0 (-26.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -8.8 (-2.8) | 147.0 (-23.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -8.8 (-2.8) | 152.3 (-28.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -8.9 (-2.9) | 151.6 (-27.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2023 | UAB 81 – 74 LT |
| Mar 13, 2022 | UAB 82 – 73 LT |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UAB 87 – 74 LT |
| Jan 22, 2022 | UAB 83 – 76 LT |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LT 69 – 64 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#71) | 1.3 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#116) | -0.03 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#101) | -0.08 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#128) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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