Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -5.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -3.7 (+5.3) | 145.2 (+9.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -4.1 (+4.9) | 144.4 (+10.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.2 (+4.8) | 146.3 (+8.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -3.3 (+5.7) | 144.8 (+10.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | UAB 65 – 59 LT |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UAB 81 – 74 LT |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UAB 87 – 74 LT |
| Jan 22, 2022 | UAB 83 – 76 LT |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LT 69 – 64 UAB |
Game Analysis
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