Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | LT -110 UAB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -1.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -1.9 (+3.1) | 134.9 (-1.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -0.9 (+4.1) | 132.8 (+0.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -2.5 (+2.5) | 131.7 (+1.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -1.5 (+3.5) | 132.2 (+0.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | UAB 65 – 59 LT |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UAB 81 – 74 LT |
| Mar 13, 2022 | UAB 82 – 73 LT |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UAB 87 – 74 LT |
| Jan 22, 2022 | UAB 83 – 76 LT |
Game Analysis
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