Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -1.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -1.2 (-8.2) | 146.0 (+13.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -1.0 (-8.0) | 142.9 (+16.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -1.2 (-8.2) | 145.4 (+13.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -1.2 (-8.2) | 145.2 (+13.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | UAB 65 – 59 LT |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UAB 81 – 74 LT |
| Mar 13, 2022 | UAB 82 – 73 LT |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UAB 87 – 74 LT |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LT 69 – 64 UAB |
Game Analysis
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