Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -200 UNCA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -5.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -3.8 (-8.8) | 133.2 (+5.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.2 (-8.2) | 132.6 (+6.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -3.2 (-8.2) | 133.6 (+5.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -3.6 (-8.6) | 133.2 (+5.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCA 77 – 71 GWEB |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNCA 69 – 50 GWEB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNCA 78 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCA 61 – 53 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UNCA 83 – 72 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-0 |
| Away | 6-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#161) | -1.3 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#237) | 0.41 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#220) | 0.25 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#262) | 0.527 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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