Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +100 FOR -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -0.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.1 (-2.1) | 144.9 (-14.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -1.2 (-0.8) | 142.8 (-12.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.2 (-2.2) | 145.2 (-15.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.0 (-2.0) | 145.0 (-15.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | LAS 87 – 84 FOR |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FOR 64 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FOR 88 – 72 LAS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LAS 81 – 76 FOR |
| Mar 10, 2023 | FOR 69 – 61 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 18-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#262) | -1.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#200) | 0.36 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#260) | 0.20 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#207) | 0.506 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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