Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -155 FOR +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +16 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -6.4 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -5.5 (-21.5) | 149.1 (+10.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -4.6 (-20.6) | 151.2 (+8.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -4.9 (-20.9) | 145.9 (+14.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -4.9 (-20.9) | 147.1 (+12.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | LAS 87 – 84 FOR |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FOR 64 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LAS 81 – 76 FOR |
| Mar 10, 2023 | FOR 69 – 61 LAS |
| Jan 14, 2023 | FOR 66 – 64 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#184) | -4.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#145) | -0.57 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#168) | -0.69 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#113) | 0.473 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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