Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +140 FOR -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +3 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -0.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (+45.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -0.7 (+3.7) | 130.2 (+40.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -1.2 (+4.2) | 128.8 (+42.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -0.4 (+3.4) | 126.2 (+44.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -0.1 (+3.1) | 128.7 (+42.3) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | FOR 64 – 58 LAS |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FOR 88 – 72 LAS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LAS 81 – 76 FOR |
| Mar 10, 2023 | FOR 69 – 61 LAS |
| Jan 14, 2023 | FOR 66 – 64 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#222) | -0.3 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#237) | -0.32 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#236) | -0.29 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#235) | 0.491 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.