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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 8.2 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +7.6 145.9 79% 59–70 ✓
Notre Dame @ Syracuse +6.1 140.5 76% 73–78 ✓
UAlbany @ NJIT +1.3 139.9 59% 67–74 ✓
Colorado State @ UNLV +6.6 145.5 74% 82–81 ✗
Air Force @ Fresno State +2.5 126.6 60% 51–48 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood +12.5 138.8 87% 65–72 ✓
Presbyterian @ High Point +4.8 143.3 68% 56–64 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +9.3 139.2 81% 67–86 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +9.0 143.9 82% 65–73 ✓
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +9.5 138.5 82% 71–83 ✓
South Dakota State @ South Dakota -3.3 134.1 37% 82–64 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -9.2 131.0 16% 74–53 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee +1.9 156.2 61% 78–74 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Liberty +19.0 144.5 90% 62–82 ✓
Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +3.6 149.1 73% 82–85 ✓
Colorado @ UCLA +11.3 137.1 86% 54–68 ✓
Texas Tech @ Texas +9.3 144.4 85% 70–72 ✓
Stanford @ Washington State +9.0 134.0 82% 59–60 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +9.3 126.6 81% 57–69 ✓
Bradley @ Drake -0.4 128.4 51% 61–86 ✗
Wake Forest @ Boston College -4.4 142.9 31% 85–63 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +5.6 143.1 71% 85–80 ✗
St. Thomas @ Oral Roberts +12.3 153.7 88% 69–81 ✓
Western Illinois @ Kansas City +4.5 136.1 68% 60–52 ✗
Mississippi State @ Auburn +5.7 129.2 75% 63–69 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Indiana +4.3 155.2 70% 66–80 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +6.5 148.7 78% 76–67 ✗
UT Arlington @ New Mexico State +11.4 131.7 84% 66–55 ✗
Sam Houston @ Utah Tech -5.4 136.9 31% 78–53 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pacific -5.8 152.6 24% 92–81 ✓
Pepperdine @ BYU +10.8 152.4 87% 81–91 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana +5.3 136.3 75% 55–84 ✓
Portland @ Gonzaga +15.5 158.9 89% 75–115 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -1.9 131.4 42% 74–79 ✗
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +6.9 151.2 78% 84–98 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +5.6 131.6 67% 65–64 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Portland State +4.3 154.5 67% 69–67 ✗
Utah @ USC +4.2 136.8 72% 56–71 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming -7.7 135.9 22% 85–68 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco -4.9 133.9 28% 78–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +4.6 141.3 67% 70–79 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +14.2 154.1 87% 85–74 ✗
Marquette @ Xavier +3.4 159.5 66% 76–80 ✓
Marist @ Niagara +3.7 127.9 62% 66–64 ✗
Siena @ Canisius -2.9 134.8 44% 62–66 ✗
Northwestern @ Michigan +2.8 139.3 61% 78–85 ✓
South Florida @ East Carolina +2.4 139.2 60% 81–70 ✗
Rider @ Iona +13.4 142.2 85% 70–67 ✗
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +2.0 124.3 48% 56–52 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's -4.4 133.6 28% 58–51 ✓
Ohio State @ Rutgers +3.1 133.3 68% 64–68 ✓
Memphis @ Temple -3.8 150.7 36% 61–59 ✓
Indiana State @ Missouri State +3.1 138.5 63% 62–64 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +5.0 150.9 79% 67–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.