Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · January 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money WKU -400 / FIU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +11 129 Won
Massey WKU -8.7 (+2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 144.7 (-15.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WKU -7.0 (+4.0) 144.9 (-15.9) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -7.6 (+3.4) 145.9 (-16.9) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -6.2 (+4.8) 144.9 (-15.9) 74% ✓
Baseline ML WKU -6.3 (+4.7) 145.0 (-16.0) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 FIU 92 – 67 WKU
Feb 7, 2026 WKU 80 – 70 FIU
Mar 12, 2025 FIU 64 – 61 WKU
Mar 7, 2025 WKU 76 – 67 FIU
Jan 4, 2025 FIU 85 – 66 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU FIU
Overall 17-16 14-18
Conference 8-12 8-12
Home 9-5 11-7
Away 5-9 3-10
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 72.5
Avg Pts Against 71.6 75.5
Massey 0.5 (#162) -4.3 (#246)
Bradley-Terry 0.43 (#139) -0.30 (#203)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.16 (#163) -0.85 (#241)
RPI 0.522 (#137) 0.475 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU FIU
FG% 44.6% 46.7%
3PT% 35.7% 30.7%
REB / G 33.3 32.6
OREB / G 8.6 8.6
AST / TO 1.25 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 52.1%
TOV% 16.0% 21.7%
ORB% 24.8% 25.2%
FT Rate 22.2% 19.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 22.8%
DRB% 68.7% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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