Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +14 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -10.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -8.8 (+5.2) | 153.7 (+28.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -6.9 (+7.1) | 151.2 (+30.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -8.7 (+5.3) | 155.0 (+27.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -8.7 (+5.3) | 154.8 (+27.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 81.6 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#99) | -1.9 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#99) | -0.60 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#92) | -0.34 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#82) | 0.467 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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