Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BC +130 WAKE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +22 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -3.4 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -3.7 (-18.3) | 146.1 (+1.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -4.4 (-17.6) | 142.9 (+5.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -3.5 (-18.5) | 146.0 (+2.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -3.5 (-18.5) | 148.2 (-0.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BC 68 – 67 WAKE |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 66 BC |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WAKE 84 – 78 BC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | BC 71 – 69 WAKE |
| Mar 9, 2022 | BC 82 – 77 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#220) | 5.2 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#185) | 1.77 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#172) | 2.22 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#206) | 0.583 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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