Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | BC +105 WAKE -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -1.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -0.8 (-6.8) | 153.0 (+9.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -1.3 (-7.3) | 150.5 (+11.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -1.6 (-7.6) | 150.7 (+11.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -1.6 (-7.6) | 152.1 (+9.9) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BC 68 – 67 WAKE |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 66 BC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | BC 71 – 69 WAKE |
| Jan 15, 2023 | WAKE 85 – 63 BC |
| Mar 9, 2022 | BC 82 – 77 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#76) | 9.8 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#86) | 1.23 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#78) | 1.88 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#76) | 0.577 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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