Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BC +154 WAKE -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -5.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -4.6 (+5.6) | 145.0 (-10.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -4.3 (+5.3) | 147.1 (-12.1) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -5.3 (+6.3) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -5.3 (+6.3) | 143.6 (-8.6) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 66 BC |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WAKE 84 – 78 BC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | BC 71 – 69 WAKE |
| Jan 15, 2023 | WAKE 85 – 63 BC |
| Mar 9, 2022 | BC 82 – 77 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 13-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#141) | 9.7 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#219) | 1.39 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#183) | 1.67 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#239) | 0.549 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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