Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -400 BC +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -10.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -9.5 (-11.5) | 148.1 (-8.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -10.4 (-12.4) | 146.9 (-6.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -9.3 (-11.3) | 148.5 (-8.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -10.1 (-12.1) | 148.5 (-8.5) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BC 68 – 67 WAKE |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 66 BC |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WAKE 84 – 78 BC |
| Jan 15, 2023 | WAKE 85 – 63 BC |
| Mar 9, 2022 | BC 82 – 77 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#83) | -0.8 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#64) | 0.51 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#59) | 0.72 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#80) | 0.505 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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