Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -650 BC +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -6.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -5.4 (+0.6) | 132.3 (+5.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -5.8 (+0.2) | 133.0 (+5.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -4.5 (+1.5) | 130.8 (+7.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -5.3 (+0.7) | 130.3 (+7.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BC 68 – 67 WAKE |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WAKE 84 – 78 BC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | BC 71 – 69 WAKE |
| Jan 15, 2023 | WAKE 85 – 63 BC |
| Mar 9, 2022 | BC 82 – 77 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#163) | -1.8 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#48) | 0.17 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#62) | -0.48 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#71) | 0.541 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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